د ا رسة تحليلية وقياسية-اقتصادية لتطور استهلا ك الكهرباء في الجزائر خلل الفترة 1980-2022-
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Date
2024
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Abstract
This study aims to understand and analyze the development of electricity consumption
in Algeria over the specified period of time, and to identify the factors that affected this
development, as well as to attempt to develop an econometric model that responds to
economic theory and achieves statistical creteria, capable of explaining electricity
consumption and analyzing demand for it in Algeria.
To address the research problem in a scientific and objective manner, we relied in this
study on the descriptive approach within the framework of narrating the theoretical aspect
and analyzing and describing the historical data of the study variables, in addition to using
statistical and standard methods and techniques in estimating the standard model.
The study found a positive impact relationship from economic growth represented by
the real gross domestic product variable, where the higher the economic growth rate, the
higher the consumption of electrical energy. As for the consumer price index variable, we
found that the direction of the relationship was inverse, which is consistent with economic
logic, but the impact was weak, which can be attributed to price subsidy in general, and
energy and electricity prices subsidies in particular, which makes consumption less affected
by rising prices
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Keywords
Energy, Electricity, Consumption, VAR model, Algeria