Forecasting Volatility of Cryptocurrencies Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning

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Date

2025-06-15

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Mohamed Boudiaf University of M'sila

Abstract

This thesis investigates the application of machine learning and deep learning methods into forecasting cryptocurrencies volatility. Using Bitcoin and Ethereum datasets, the performance of the following models was analyzed: Random Forest, XGBoost, LSTM, and GRU. The results show that deep learning models, specifically LSTM, outperforms machine learning models on every metric. These findings suggest that RNN models are better equipped to handle temporal dependencies in time series data that have sequential nature.

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Keywords

Machine learning, Deep learning, cryptocurrency, volatility, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Random Forest, XGBoost, LSTM, GRU

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